Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.</